作者严厉批评技术分析（TA）是交易者的占星术，认为它仅反映确认偏误和群体心理，而真正的价格变动来自基本面，如供应链新闻、盈利和宏观因素。他们引用了受实际经济驱动因素而非图表模式影响
作者严厉批评技术分析（TA）是交易者的占星术，认为它仅反映确认偏误和群体心理，而真正的价格变动来自基本面，如供应链新闻、盈利和宏观因素。他们引用了受实际经济驱动因素而非图表模式影响的股票例子。
“This is gonna upset a lot of people: But TA is astrology for traders. It's confirmation bias + trading human psychology about entries. Kinda like how people frontran $SPCE from $SPCX IPO expecting retail to mess up tickers by trading psychology. $SIVE didn't go up 1900% because of the golden cross space comet firebreathing dragon candle that someone is trying to sell for $499. It's because markets are pricing in future revenue from $JBL, $GFS that got announced. $AXTI didn't go up 8000% because the golden waterfall candle alert sounded back at $8. it's because of InP substrate, game theory on ASP hikes, export controls, photonics demand, and others. If you want to figure out psychologically what other regards are believing, you use TA. But for determining the actual upside... nah People have been drawing $120+ TAs on $IREN for the past idk how many months none of that crap matters when there's a $6B ATM that needs to be bought through first. It's by theme (eg. $LITE to $AAOI relations), any news catalysts that affect forward revenue, projections, macro news, earnings, float dynamics, and so on. Then you can just derive what MC that company should be at. So for entry points, sure you can use TA. For determining where the stock heads, just throw the tyrannosaurs rex omega-green candle indicator out the window.”原帖：X / @aleabitoreddit ↗