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Serenity (@aleabitoreddit)Serenity(白毛股神)@aleabitoreddit发帖2026-06-16

新报告显示AMD正在争夺CW激光器供应,并协商大规模采购订单以避免被英伟达限制产能。受益方包括Sivers(通过GaAs和CPO相关)和AAOI(据Rosenblatt分析)。Lu

新报告显示AMD正在争夺CW激光器供应,并协商大规模采购订单以避免被英伟达限制产能。受益方包括Sivers(通过GaAs和CPO相关)和AAOI(据Rosenblatt分析)。Lumentum和Coherent的订单已排至2028年,Lumentum因现有EML合同而产能受限。Macom和日本厂商可能仍有富余产能。作者此前预测超大规模企业需向上游锁定产能。

New reports that $AMD is scrambling for CW laser supply. And is negotiating large-scale purchase orders for CW Lasers to ensure its production capacity is not constrained by $NVDA (Trendforce) Obvious CW laser beneficiaries: - $SIVE (AMD went to GFS for CPO, Sivers reference laser level) - $AAOI (Rosenblatt analyst checks) Lumentum/Coherent are kinda booked out way into 2028 as well. Lumentum is especially constrained for CW capacity already from existing EML contracts (so they probably are buying from Sumitomo/Furukawa and co). Maybe Macom and Japanese giants still have spare capacity. (disclosure, own aaoi/sivers). I predicted this last year and said hyperscalers should go more upstream to secure capacity... at laser levels, epiwafer levels, or even inp substrate levels. To not get bottlenecked by Nvidia.
原帖X / @aleabitoreddit

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AMD正在积极寻求CW激光器供应,表明可能存在产能限制,但也在主动争取产能。

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Sivers因AMD与GFS在CPO方面的合作而被提及为受益方,涉及Sivers的激光器技术。

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Rosenblatt分析师的调研指出AAOI是AMD采购CW激光器的受益方。

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Lumentum因现有EML合同导致CW产能已满,可能无法满足AMD的新需求。

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Coherent的CW激光器产能已排至2028年,表明供应紧张且灵活性有限。

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