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Serenity(白毛股神)
Serenity (@aleabitoreddit)Serenity(白毛股神)@aleabitoreddit发帖2026-07-06

作者反思Reddit(RDDT)重回200美元以上,强调其强劲的基本面(营收、利润率、净利润、增长),并将之前的下跌归因于相对于超大规模资本支出的机会成本。他们还讨论了美光(MU)

作者反思Reddit(RDDT)重回200美元以上,强调其强劲的基本面(营收、利润率、净利润、增长),并将之前的下跌归因于相对于超大规模资本支出的机会成本。他们还讨论了美光(MU)和Lumentum(LITE)的看涨前景,认为其供应瓶颈将持续到2029年,并否定了有关内存优化和中国厂商的噪音。此外,他们提到了Robinhood(HOOD)和Hims & Hers(HIMS)的复苏,但没有详细分析。

Was a sad few months for $RDDT. But glad it's finally back above $200. Reddit was doing: - $663M revenue w/ 91.5% gross margins - $204M GAAP net income - 45%+ fwd Y/Y growth after 69%+ growth. - Net profit is ~30.7% of revenue Felt very weird to see a profitable company get dragged down after earnings. But in hindsight, given the increase hyperscaler capex, the drop felt more like it's more relative opportunity cost more than fundamentals? Since a lot of inflow poured into $MU / Sk Hynix that are bottlenecked into 2029. Or with laser bottlenecks like $LITE that last into 2029 as well. Same thing happens in reverse after selloffs ig, even if fundamentals didn't change. Been seeing a lot of noise with memory optimization or Chinese players... but don't quite think you sign 16T+ LTAs if memory was getting flooded or not used anytime soon. Same with optical players... if in earnings, they state anything they make gets bought, I don't quite think a lot of the noise has material effect on their fundamentals. Regardless, nice to see some recovery with familiar faces like $HOOD, $HIMS, and $RDDT though.
原帖X / @aleabitoreddit

关联股票

RDDT看多
+3.18% 今日
+42.31% 90天

强劲财务数据:6.63亿美元营收,91.5%毛利率,2.04亿美元GAAP净利润,45%+远期增长。股价因相对于超大规模资本支出的机会成本而下跌,但基本面依然稳固。

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MU看多
+0.94% 今日
+160.81% 90天

内存瓶颈持续到2029年;长期协议(16T+ LTAs)表明需求强劲,尽管存在内存优化或中国玩家的噪音。

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LITE看多
+0.40% 今日
-10.36% 90天

激光瓶颈持续到2029年;光学厂商表示生产的产品全部被买走,表明需求强劲。

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HOOD关注
+4.28% 今日
+68.77% 90天

作者提到复苏但未提供具体基本面支撑;情绪偏正面但较弱。

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HIMS关注
+4.02% 今日
+96.31% 90天

作者提到复苏但未提供具体基本面支撑;情绪偏正面但较弱。

去交易
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