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Serenity(白毛股神)
Serenity (@aleabitoreddit)Serenity(白毛股神)@aleabitoreddit发帖2026-07-06

作者批评散户投资者锚定于虚高的私募估值,以Figure和Agility Robotics为例,指出稀缺性心理导致散户支付过高价格。

作者批评散户投资者锚定于虚高的私募估值,以Figure和Agility Robotics为例,指出稀缺性心理导致散户支付过高价格。

It’s interesting to witness psychology around valuation anchoring + scarcity. Retail, for example, are buying Figure, last valued at ~$39B through CEFs… At $158B, since it’s private, round 4x valuations. Then Agility Robotics $CCXI, which has broader commercialization. Is at ~$4.3B pre-money and publicly available before the name change. At closer pricing that $AMZN, $NVDA, SoftBank, and Foxconn vaulted it at. Yet some end up paying 4-5x prices of already hiked private investor rounds for exposure… I’m convinced if Agility raised a very small private round at $39B as well from $2.5B (which it definitely could), to set a valuation anchor. Investors would be foaming in the mouth for a private allocation, just due to psychology rather than underlying fundamentals. We’ve also seen this anchoring with $SPCX recently at $1.75T. Peak market inefficiency? Or lack of knowledge from retail?
原帖X / @aleabitoreddit

关联股票

CCXI关注
-9.84% 今日
+68.82% 90天

Agility Robotics商业化更广,公开市场估值约43亿美元,有AMZN、NVDA、软银和富士康支持,但散户可能因心理锚定效应而支付过高。

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SPCX关注
-0.98% 今日
-0.33% 90天

作者指出SPCX在1.75万亿美元附近的锚定效应,暗示市场效率低下或散户定价错误。

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