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Serenity(白毛股神)
Serenity (@aleabitoreddit)Serenity(白毛股神)@aleabitoreddit发帖2026-08-08

作者介绍了一个周末做空Nebius (NBIS) 的尽职调查指南,指出超大规模企业(GOOGL、AMZN、META)的AI云需求强劲以及NBIS自身的快速增长数据,这些最初看起来对

作者介绍了一个周末做空Nebius (NBIS) 的尽职调查指南,指出超大规模企业(GOOGL、AMZN、META)的AI云需求强劲以及NBIS自身的快速增长数据,这些最初看起来对做空不利。但作者最终建议做空NBIS并做多Lululemon (LULU),理由是耐克高管跳槽至LULU被视为积极信号。

Today I'm writing a weekend guide on how to do DD when shorting $NBIS: First, you look at hyperscaler earnings for AI cloud read through: > $GOOGL: reports record AI cloud demand + backlog + margin increases from earnings > $AMZN: reports record AI Cloud demand + backlog + margin increases from earnings > $META: reports higher than expected prices for available capacity from earnings. Now, time to look at Nebius: -> $NBIS: Growing hundreds of percent to $7-9B ARR by Q4. Growing margins, and guided 4GW+ contracted power. -> Sees Uber/Waymo splitting, putting more focus on Avride -> Sees Clickhouse growing rapidly every quarter. Okay looks bad! But next, you need a hedge? -> Wow! A $NIKE brand executive, after the stock dropped 75% over the past 5 years, went to $LULU to save that brand next? Lululemon seems good. Conclusion: Short Nebius and go long on $LULU
原帖X / @aleabitoreddit

关联股票

NBIS看空
-1.01% 今日
+6.17% 90天

尽管NBIS增长强劲(营收增长数百个百分点、利润率扩张、4GW+电力合同),但作者明确建议做空,暗示该股估值过高或利多因素已被消化。

去交易
LULU看多
+3.09% 今日
-1.98% 90天

作者指出,耐克股价五年下跌75%后,一位耐克品牌高管转投Lululemon以‘拯救该品牌’,这暗示LULU可能迎来转机或执行力提升。

去交易
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