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Serenity(白毛股神)
Serenity (@aleabitoreddit)Serenity(白毛股神)@aleabitoreddit发帖2026-08-09

作者建议重新关注Sivers Semiconductors(SIVE),基于其模组化年中点产能收入约4.27亿美元的预测,引用AAOI和MTSI关于InP CW DFB激光器短缺以

作者建议重新关注Sivers Semiconductors(SIVE),基于其模组化年中点产能收入约4.27亿美元的预测,引用AAOI和MTSI关于InP CW DFB激光器短缺以及美国拟禁止中国光收发器的行业证据。看多逻辑是,Sivers作为激光器厂商,可能受益于与AAOI类似的产能需求吸收动态。

I think it’s a good time to revisit $SIVE ~$427m/yr midpoint capacity revenue modeled projections. Given recent industry earnings: > $AAOI cited +20-40% demand imbalance for transceivers (with lasers as the bottleneck). > $MTSI saying many "Customers are coming to us with urgency due to the general supply shortage of indium phosphide DFB lasers" (in other product lines) > US proposal ban on new Chinese optical transceivers (Innolight/Eoptolink) > AOI no meaningful participation in first-gen CPO deployments due to lasers being allocated toward transceivers. The read through is that it’s possible to apply the same capacity-demand absorption modeling applying to $AAOI, but for other laser players like Sivers too. Given the widespread shortage and demand imbalance for InP CW DFB capacity.
原帖X / @aleabitoreddit

关联股票

SIVE看多

行业报告指出收发器需求失衡20-40%,激光器为瓶颈,加上美国拟禁止中国光收发器,表明对InP CW DFB激光器产能的需求增加。Sivers作为激光器厂商,有望抓住这一需求,其模组化年中点产能收入约4.27亿美元。

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